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Citi Field showcases a pair of pivotal matchups on Saturday. The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves for a doubleheader with the opener taking place in the early afternoon. The Braves and Mets are in the midst of a five-game weekend series that could have a considerable impact on the NL East race. New York is 67-39 this season, and Atlanta is 64-43. Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 3.75 ERA), a trade deadline acquisition from the Astros, is set to make his debut as starting pitcher for the Braves. Lefty David Peterson (5-2, 3.54 ERA) is starting for New York.
Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as the -135 money-line favorite (risk $135 to win $100) for this 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is nine in the latest Braves vs. Mets odds. Before making any Mets vs. Braves picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters Week 18 on a 20-14 roll on top-rated MLB picks, returning almost $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Braves and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Braves vs. Mets:
- Mets vs. Braves money line: Mets -135, Braves +115
- Mets vs. Braves over-under: 9 runs
- Mets vs. Braves run line: Mets -1.5 (+158)
- ATL: The Braves are 16-21 in day games
- NYM: The Mets are 27-14 in day games
- Mets vs. Braves picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Why you should back the Braves
Atlanta’s offense draws headlines for its power, and the Braves are a constant threat to the opposition at the dish. However, the Braves are also tremendous in run prevention, including an elite bullpen. Atlanta leads the National League in wins above replacement from relief pitchers, and the Braves improved that unit with the addition of Raisel Iglesias at the trade deadline.
The Braves are in the top three of the NL in ERA and strikeout rate from relievers, and Atlanta’s offense leads the league in home runs and total bases. Seven members of the Braves roster have double-digit home runs, and the club is near the top of the NL in runs scored, slugging percentage, OPS, doubles, hits and batting average. Austin Riley has been one of the best players in the NL this season, including a Player of the Month showing in July, and he anchors a deep and productive lineup.
Why you should back the Mets
The Mets are No. 2 in the National League in runs allowed this season, and New York’s bullpen is outstanding. The Mets are in the top four of the National League in ERA from relief pitchers, and New York’s bullpen is generating more than 10 strikeouts per nine innings. On the offensive side, it is easy to see why the Mets lead the NL East with the second-best record in the NL overall. New York is in the top three of the NL in runs scored, hits, doubles, strikeout avoidance and batting average.
The Mets are also above the NL median in doubles, slugging, OPS and total bases. Two-time All-Star Pete Alonso is a big part of that success, as he ranks in the top three in home runs for the fourth straight season with an OPS over .900 and a slugging percentage well over the .500 mark in 2022.
How to make Braves vs. Mets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.2 combined runs, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model’s picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Mets vs. Braves? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.