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The Atlanta Braves (72-41) are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against the New York Mets (52-62). The Braves will look to continue that dominance when they start a three-game series with the Mets this Friday night in New York.
Atlanta is just 2-4 SU in its last six games despite being the betting favorite in all six of those matchups. The Mets went 2-1 SU against the Chicago Cubs in their last three games after going 0-6 SU over their previous six games.
The OVER is 6-0 in Atlanta’s last six games and 9-4 SU in the Braves’ last 13 road games facing the Mets.
Starting Pitcher Report: Braves
Charlie Morton pitched 4.1 innings and allowed four hits, four walks and five earned runs in last Sunday’s 6-4 Braves loss against the Chicago Cubs.
Morton is 0-4 with a 7.32 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP over his last four starts. The right-hander is now 10-10 with a 3.86 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP and 132 strikeouts in 123.2 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta is 0-4 SU in the last four games Morton has started after going 5-0 SU in his previous five trips to the mound. Morton has recorded a 4.00 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Mets.
Starting Pitcher Report: Mets
Tylor Megill allowed nine hits and five earned runs in 4.2 innings pitched last Saturday in New York’s 7-3 road loss to the Baltimore Orioles. Megill has allowed four earned runs or more in five of his last seven starts. He is 6-5 with a 5.45 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP and 61 strikeouts in 76 innings pitched this season.
Megill has been far more effective at home than he has been on the road this year with a 4-1 record, a 2.79 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in seven starts at Citi Field. The Mets are 1-6 SU in the last seven games that Megill has started.
Braves Player Prop: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits (+136)
Ronald Acuna Jr. has been one of the best hitters in baseball all season. He enters Friday’s action with a .340 batting average, 26 home runs and 70 RBI. He is batting .442 over his last 13 games with three two-hit games and five three-hits games over that stretch.
Tylor Megill has been struggling in recent weeks, and the Mets’ bullpen has an ERA of 4.19 that ranks 21st in the majors. Acuna Jr. is batting .409 against the Mets this season and is likely to keep things rolling on Friday night by going over 1.5 hits on the road.
Mets Player Prop: Pete Alonso To Hit A Home Run (+300)
Pete Alonso’s 35 home runs and 87 RBI this season both rank third best in the majors. Alonso is coming into this series against the Braves on a red-hot streak after torching the Cubs going 5-for-10 with four home runs, four runs and 10 RBI. The Mets star is always dangerous at the plate, but he’s especially dangerous when he’s in a rhythm like this one.
Charlie Morton has allowed three earned runs or more in each of his last four starts. If Morton continues to struggle with his control on Friday night and makes a mistake pitch against Alonso, it could easily wind up in the seats to extend Alonso’s home run streak to four straight games.