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The Atlanta Braves (50-51) and New York Mets (53-46) square off Wednesday night for the fourth game of their five-game series, with first pitch from Citi Field set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 7-6 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 84 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

After posting ERAs of 1.50 in May and 3.58 in June, Fried has struggled this month with a mark of 5.32 in 22 innings. He’s allowed 13 runs in his last four starts, including three home runs. Against the Mets this season, he’s allowed just three earned runs in 11 innings.

RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 1-0 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 30 IP over six starts.

Megill is a rookie for the Mets, making six total appearances this season. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a single start, and in his last four appearances, he’s given up just two earned runs in 20 2/3 innings. He faced the Braves in his first two appearances in MLB, allowing five runs in 9 1/3 innings.

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Braves at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-185) | Mets -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)


Braves 4, Mets 3

The Braves have won three of their last four games against the Mets, including a 12-5 victory on Tuesday. Fried has struggled lately, but the Braves get to face a rookie who they saw the ball well against last month when Megill pitched twice against them.

I like the BRAVES (+110) at plus money tonight coming off a seven-run win over these Mets last night.

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Though the Braves are just 5-5 in their last 10 games, they have a stellar 8-2 mark against the spread in that span. The Mets have covered the spread in only five of their last 10.

Bet the BRAVES +1.5 (-185), but lean toward the money line where there’s more upside.

In six of the Braves’ last nine games, the total has gone Under. The Under is 6-2 in the Mets’ last eight games, as well.

Neither of these teams has put many runs across the plate in this series, aside from the 17 runs they combined for on Tuesday.

Bet the UNDER 7.5 (-110) tonight.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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