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The Atlanta Braves (18-9) and New York Mets (15-12) meet for a doubleheader Monday as they wrap up a truncated 3-game series. First pitch for Game 1 from Citi Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

This was originally supposed to be a 4-game series, but Saturday’s and Sunday’s games were postponed due to rain. Monday was originally supposed to be the finale of the 4-game set and now features a doubleheader with a makeup of Sunday’s game. Saturday’s game will be made up later in the season.

Atlanta won 4-0 as a -132 road favorite Friday in a series opener that was called after the 5th inning due to rain. All 4 of the Braves’ runs came in that final inning thanks to an RBI single by OF Ronald Acuna Jr. and a 3-run home run by 1B Matt Olson. Atlanta has won 4 of its last 5 after dropping 4 straight games from April 21-23.

New York is on a cold streak, losing 5 of its last 6 including a 4-game losing skid from Apr. 22-26. The Braves have more runs (138-122), hits (231-213), home runs (41-27), and a better batting average (.255-.240) than the Mets so far this season. Atlanta also has an edge in pitching, with a team ERA almost 1 full run better than New York’s team ERA (3.37-4.36) and with 251 strikeouts to New York’s 230.

Braves at Mets starters

RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Denyi Reyes

Strider (3-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 14.7 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • Last start vs. New York was Aug. 15, 2022: 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, and 4 K in a 13-1 win
  • Went 5-4 with a 3.25 ERA, 61 IP, 41 H, 22 ER, 24 BB, and 88 K in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances on the road last season

Reyes (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start and 6th appearance. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 6 1/3 IP.

  • Has just one previous career start on May 28, 2022, at the Boston Red Sox with 3 2/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 2 K as a member of the Baltimore Orioles
  • Is 0-0 with 0 ER, 2 H, 0 B and 3 K in 2 relief appearances at home this season

Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Mets +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-165) | Mets +1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions


Braves 6, Mets 2


The Braves (-250) should be able to win this game but they are far too heavy of a favorite, especially as the away team, to wager on. The risk here is not worth the reward.

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-165).

The Braves have been the hotter team recently and beat the Mets by multiple runs in the series opener Friday. Only 1 of the last 10 meetings between these clubs was a 1-run game, a 3-2 Braves win on Aug. 18, 2022. The Braves are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, meaning they consistently beat the Mets and do so by at least 2 runs.

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LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Only 2 of the last 10 meetings have eclipsed 8.5 total runs and the Over/Under has been pretty even in recent matchups between these teams.

The Over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 meetings but the Under is safer here because matchups between these teams, at least recently, have rarely eclipsed the 8.5 total run mark.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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